Mudanças Climáticas: Influência Antrópica, Impactos e Perspectivas

Autores

  • Karine Zortea Silva Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.
  • Renata Colombo Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21664/2238-8869.2019v8i3.p47-68

Palavras-chave:

Alterações Climáticas, Gases de Efeito Estufa, Interferência Humana

Resumo

Há diversas evidências que comprovam que as alterações no sistema climático e o consequente aumento da temperatura na Terra, observados nas últimas décadas, são provocados pelo aumento de emissões de gases de efeito estufa antropogênicos Essas alterações no sistema climático têm gerado impactos negativos nos sistemas biológicos, agrícolas e humanos e oferecem riscos para diferentes setores e regiões.. A forma de gerenciar esses riscos é através de ações de adaptação e mitigação às alterações no clima. As ações de adaptação são locais e variam conforme locais e regiões, bem como cultura e desenvolvimento da população e/ou país. As ações de mitigação devem estar voltadas para redução de emissões de GEE, principalmente focados em inovações que apresentem aumento da eficiência energética e tecnologias de captura e armazenamento de carbono, visto que são necessárias emissões líquidas de gases de efeito estufa zero ou negativas para conter o aumento da temperatura a níveis satisfatórios. Esse trabalho apresenta um panorama geral e atualizado sobre as alterações no sistema climático, avaliando as principais literaturas científicas referentes ao assunto, bem como analisando criticamente as últimas ações dos governos mundiais referente às ações de mitigação, impactos e perspectivas.

Biografia do Autor

Karine Zortea Silva, Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.

Mestrado em Sustentabilidade pela Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.

Renata Colombo, Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.

Doutorado em Química Analítica pelo Instituto de Química de São Carlos-USP, IQSC, Brasil. Professor na Universidade de São Paulo, USP, Brasil.

Referências

Adger WN, Pulhin JM, Barnett J, Dabelko GD, Hovelsrud GK, Levy M, Spring ÚO, Vogel CH 2014. Human security. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 755-791.
Alier JM 2007. O ecologismo dos pobres. Contexto, São Paulo, 379 pp.
Arantes JT. Aquecimento poderá reduzir em 44% a grande circulação das águas do Atlântico. Agência FAPESP [serial on the Internet]. 2016 Jan [cited 2019 Jun 24]. Available from: http://agencia.fapesp.br/aquecimento_podera_reduzir_em_44_a_grande_circulacao_das_aguas_do_atlantico_/23015/.
Arent DJ, Tol RSJ, Faust E, Hella JP, Kumar S, Strzepek KM, Tóth FL, Yan D 2014. Key economic sectors and services. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 11-597.
Baird C 2011. Química Ambiental. 4.ed. Bookman, Porto Alegre, 844 pp.
Brook EJ 2007. CO2 Studies. In SA Elias. Ice Core Methods. Elsevier, Switzerland, p.1145-1156.
Bruckner T, Bashmakov IA, Mulugetta Y, Chum H, de la Vega Navarro A, Edmonds J, Faaij A, Fungtammasan B, Garg A, Hertwich E, Honnery D, Infield D, Kainuma M, Khennas S, Kim S, Nimir HB, Riahi K, Strachan N, Wiser R, Zhang X 2014. Energy Systems. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 11 - 597.
Castro E, Cunha LH, Fernandes M, Sousa CM 2017. Tensão entre justiça ambiental e justiça social na América Latina: o caso da gestão da água. EDUEPB, Campina Grande 456 pp.
Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Merrifield MA, Milne GA, Nerem RS, Nunn PD, Payne AJ, Pfeffer WT, Stammer D, Unnikrishnan AS 2013. Sea Level Change. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, p.1137-1216.
Ciais P, Sabine C, Bala G, Bopp L, Brovkin V, Canadell J, Chhabra A, DeFries R, Galloway J, Heimann M, Jones C, Le Quéré C, Myneni RB, Piao S, Thornton P 2013: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 465-570.
Cisneros BEJ, Oki T, Arnell NW, Benito G, Cogley JG, Döll P, Jiang T, Mwakalila SS 2014. Freshwater resources. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 229-269.
Clarke L, Jiang K, Akimoto K, Babiker M, Blanford G, Fisher-Vanden K, Hourcade JC, Krey V, Kriegler E, Löschel A, McCollum D, Paltsev S, Rose S, Shukla PR, Tavoni M, van der Zwaan BCC, van Vuuren DP 2014. Assessing Transformation Pathways. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 413-510.
Cunha D 2015. O Antropoceno como Fetichismo. Rev Cont, 4 (6): 83-102.
Dasgupta P, Morton JF, Dodman D, Karapinar B, Meza F, Rivera-Ferre MG, Toure Sarr A, Vincent KE 2014. Rural areas. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 613-657.
Dlugokencky E, Tans P. Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide [database on the Internet]. NOOA: Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network (US). 2018 [updated 2019 Mar 05; cited 2019 Jun 24]. Available from: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/.
Fischedick M, Roy J, Abdel-Aziz A, Acquaye A, Allwood JM, Ceron JP, Geng Y, Kheshgi H, Lanza A, Perczyk D, Price L, Santalla E, Sheinbaum C, Tanaka K 2014. Industry. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 739-810.
Forster P, Venkatachalam R, Artaxo P, Berntsen T, Betts R, Fahey DW, Haywood J, Lean J, Lowe DC, Myhre G, Nganga J, Prinn R, Raga G, Schulz M, van Dorland R, Bodeker G, Boucher O, Collins W, Conway T, Whorf T 2007. Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing. In IPCC. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 130-234.
Haraway D 2016. Antropoceno, Capitaloceno, Plantationoceno, Chthuluceno: fazendo parentes. ClimaCom Cult Cien, 3(5):139-146.
Hartmann DL, Tank AMGK, Rusticucci M, Alexander LV, Brönnimann S, Charabi Y, Dentener FJ, Dlugokencky EJ, Easterling DR, Kaplan A, Soden BJ, Thorne PW, Wild M, Zhai PM 2013. Observations: Atmosphere and Surface. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 159-254.
INCT da Criosfera [database on the Internet]. Maine (US): Instituto de Mudanças do Clima. c2014 - [cited 2019 Mar 05]. Available from: http://www.ufrgs.br/inctcriosfera/arquivos/Compreendendo% 20as%20mudancas%20climaticas.pdf.
Iniciativa Verde 2015. Impactos, adaptação e vulnerabilidade: sumário para os tomadores de decisão do quinto relatório de avaliação. Iniciativa Verde, São Paulo, 47 pp.
IPCC 2013. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Summary for Policymakers. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 28 pp.
IPCC 2014a. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Summary for Policymakers. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 32 pp.
IPCC 2014b. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Summary for Policymakers. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 30 pp.
Jatobá SUS, Cidade LCF, Vargas GM 2009. Ecologismo, Ambientalismo e Ecologia Política: diferentes visões da sustentabilidade e do território. Soc estado, 24(1):47-87.
Kirtman B, Power SB, Adedoyin JA, Boer GJ, Bojariu R, Camilloni I, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Fiore AM, Kimoto M, Meehl GA, Prather M, Sarr A, Schär C, Sutton R, van Oldenborgh GJ, Vecchi G, Wang HJ 2013. Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 953-1028.
Lohmann L 2006. Carbon trading: a critical conversation on climate change, privatization and power. vol.48. Mediaprint, Uddevalla, 360 pp.
Lucon O, Ürge-Vorsatz D, Zain Ahmed A, Akbari H, Bertoldi P, Cabeza LF, Eyre N, Gadgil A, Harvey LDD, Jiang Y, Liphoto E, Mirasgedis S, Murakami S, Parikh J, Pyke C, Vilariño MV 2014. Buildings. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 671-738.
Moore J 2016. Anthropocene or Capitalocene? Nature, History, and the Crisis of Capitalism. PM Press, Oakland, 11 pp.
Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, van Vuuren DP, Carter TR, Emori S, Kainuma M, Kram T, Meehl GA, Mitchell JFB, Nakicenovic N, Riahi K, Smith SJ, Stouffer RJ, Thomson AM, Weyant JP, Wilbanks TJ 2010. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463:747-756.
Myhre G, Shindell D, Bréon FM, Collins W, Fuglestvedt J, Huang J, Koch D, Lamarque JF, Lee D, Mendoza B, Nakajima T, Robock A, Stephens G, Takemura, Zhang H 2013. Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 659-740.
Olsson L, Opondo M, Tschakert P, Agrawal A, Eriksen SH, Ma A, Perch LN, Zakieldeen SA 2014. Livelihoods and poverty. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p.793-832.
Polade SD, Pierce DW, Cayan DR, Gershunov A, Dettinger MD 2014. The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes. Sci Rep, 4:4364-4372.
Porter JR, Xie L, Challinor AJ, Cochrane K, Howden SM, Iqbal MM, Lobell DB, Travasso MI 2014 Food security and food production systems. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p.485-533.
Pörtner HO, Karl DM, Boyd PW, Cheung WWL, Lluch-Cota SE, Nojiri Y, Schmidt DN, Zavialov PO 2014. Ocean systems. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 411-484.
Price SF, Payne AJ, Howat IM, Smith BE 2011. Committed sea-level rise for the next century from Greenland ice sheet dynamics during the past decade. PNAS, 108(22):8978-8983.
Revi A, Satterthwaite DE, Aragón-Durand F, Corfee-Morlot J, Kiunsi RBR, Pelling M, Roberts DC, Soleck W 2014. Urban areas. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 535-612.
Rhein M, Rintoul SR, Aoki S, Campos E, Chambers D, Feely RA, Gulev S, Johnson GC, Josey SA, Kostianoy A, Mauritzen C, Roemmich D, Talley LD Wang F 2013. Observations: Ocean. In IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 255-316.
Schmidhuber J, Tubiello F 2007. Global food security under climate change. PNAS, 104(50):19703-19708.
Seto KC, Dhakal S, Bigio A, Blanco H, Delgado GC, Dewar D, Huang L, Inaba A, Kansal A, Lwasa S, McMahon JE, Müller DB, Murakami J, Nagendra H, Ramaswam A 2014. Human Settlements, Infrastructure and Spatial Planning. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 923 -1000.
Settele J, Scholes R, Betts R, Bunn S, Leadley P, Nepstad D, Overpeck JT, Taboada MA 2014: Terrestrial and inland water systems. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 271-359.
Sims R, Schaeffer R, Creutzig F, Cruz-Núñez X, Agosto MD, Dimitriu D, Figueroa Meza MJ, Fulton L, Kobayashi S, Lah O, McKinnon A, Newman P, Ouyang M, Schauer JJ, Sperling D, Tiwar G 2014. Transport. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 599 -670.
Smith KR, Woodward A, Campbell-Lendrum D, Chadee DD, Honda Y, Liu Q, Olwoch JM, Revich B, Sauerborn R 2014. Human health: impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p.709-754.
Sumner T. Climate change could stall Atlantic Ocean current: Global conveyor belt could shut down - and cool Europe’s climate. Sci News Stdnt [serial on the Internet]. 2017 Jan [cited 2019 Jun 24];4:[about 5 p.]. Available from: https://www.sciencenewsforstudents.org/article/climate-change-could-stall-atlantic-ocean-current.
Trenberth KE 2011. Changes in precipitation with climate change. Clim Res, 47(1):123–138.
Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide [database on the Internet]. Havaí (EUA): National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. 2018 [cited 2019 Mar 05]. Avaliable from: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/.
Turley C, Blackford JC, Widdicombe S, Lowe D, Nightingale PD, Rees Turley AP 2006. Reviewing the impact of increased atmospheric CO2 on oceanic pH and the marine ecosystem. In HJ Schellnhuber. Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 65-80.
Victor DG, Zhou D, Ahmed EHM, Dadhich PK, Olivier JGJ, Rogner HH, Sheikho K, Yamaguchi M 2014. Introductory Chapter. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 111-150.
Wheeler T, von Braun J 2013. Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security. Science, 341(6145): 508-513.
Wong PP, Losada IJ, Gattuso JP, Hinkel J, Khattabi A, McInnes KL, Saito Y, Sallenger A 2014. Coastal systems and low-lying areas. In IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 361-409.

Downloads

Publicado

2019-09-01

Como Citar

SILVA, Karine Zortea; COLOMBO, Renata. Mudanças Climáticas: Influência Antrópica, Impactos e Perspectivas. Fronteira: Journal of Social, Technological and Environmental Science, [S. l.], v. 8, n. 3, p. 47–68, 2019. DOI: 10.21664/2238-8869.2019v8i3.p47-68. Disponível em: https://revistas2.unievangelica.edu.br/index.php/fronteiras/article/view/2837. Acesso em: 24 nov. 2024.